This month I took profit off FCL and clocked a small profit as my invested sum isn't big. However the percentage gains is quite decent. about 16% gain for 6 month holding period. The original intention is to hold for a much longer period and adding on to the position for long term dividend yield. Three decisions: 1) lack of funds to invest in potential higher gain sector 2) protect profits as starhub sale made me clocked negative numbers for the first quarter already. 3) property uptrend does not seem fundamentally sound at most only a small uptick
I am trying to manage this small portfolio like I'm a fund manager. See if I could be on par or even beat them. The focus is of course income investing with growth supplementing the returns.
A few things I would like to state here as a reminder of my investing ethos:
1) Invest in things I like. What I have no interest, whether if it is management style or business sector I will not invest. reason: Interest generates proficiency. With no proficiency one cannot out do others. This includes trading, by and large I am not a good trader for many reasons: a) no time to commit, b) not much guts to make quick decisions c) do not like penny stocks and cash poor companies
While I do trade some, many of my best investment decisions and outcomes has nothing to do with short term profit taking.
2) Net cash or High FCF companies. This is something I learnt after a few years of investing. The majority of my shares should be cash rich or +FCF to allow me have a more passive stance. I have a full time job and investing is just a part time thing for now.
3) The Most Important Thing is... I have read that book. It is one of those old school investment gurus (Howard Marks) that inspires me. I realised I am an old schooler. Conservative, wins by overpowering, Risk adverse, and also I use a bit of old school "gut feel"
4) Avoid hot stocks, Avoid crowds, Avoid anything overhyped. Most importantly avoid distractions.
5) Keep Fit. Only when your body is perfect then you can make informed a quick decisions. As an old saying goes: A sound soul resides in a sound mind and healthy body! (Ok not old saying its from Soul Eater anime but makes perfect sense)
Investment has made me a better person. I learnt to appreciate the hardwork done by many corporate people and business foresights of investors and business owners. I also read more political and financial news.
Onward to my next AUM goal!
Monday, March 20, 2017
Sunday, January 22, 2017
one month into 2017 and the pressure is real. I do feel busy, and it is times like these that made me felt that what usually doesn't go wrong will go wrong. One of my oldest business partner has an issue with the new management's way of doing things and he is dragging matters. Another work partner has left the company I used to work closely with. Headaches..
Investments on the other hand are doing pretty well despite all the doom & gloom about trump and stuff. let's hope it continues that way.
The older I get the less inclined I'm feeling to get married and settled down, maybe it not the right person. Maybe I have renewed zeal at work. Either way, it all seems to bog me down with distract me from my goals. I'm kinda torn between choices. The plus side is companionship, which I dun really need. Pika and Imp help out a lot in these aspect.
February 2017. two more weeks to my big step towards my own home. Let's see what gives.
I hate Chinese new year.
Investments on the other hand are doing pretty well despite all the doom & gloom about trump and stuff. let's hope it continues that way.
The older I get the less inclined I'm feeling to get married and settled down, maybe it not the right person. Maybe I have renewed zeal at work. Either way, it all seems to bog me down with distract me from my goals. I'm kinda torn between choices. The plus side is companionship, which I dun really need. Pika and Imp help out a lot in these aspect.
February 2017. two more weeks to my big step towards my own home. Let's see what gives.
I hate Chinese new year.
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Its been sometime since I last blog. 6 months to be exact. There isn't much to talk about, and I was kinda busy.
I think I am developing old man vision. Eyes start to get tired easily these days. There is always a feeling of sleepiness after 1am. Thirties is really a bitch.
After a period of uneventful July to October, we reached the November.
Trump got elected after the USA presidential elections. Its against the conventional wisdom of all the analysts and experts. Which lead to a short 1 day mini sell down, stocks picked up right after.
Thereafter it has been weak mainly due to prolong uncertainty of the Fed's decision to raise I/R for upcoming December's meeting. Personally I seen a huge drop in my holdings for mine is a dividend heavy portfolio.
One of the lesson I had learnt is not to trust "experts" they are human too and made mistakes.
Locally the government's initiative to push for 4th telco coupled with impeding rising rates and trump's rejection of TPP, has cause big sell down for all three telcos. Funds selling to invest in US, retailers dumping due to the impending 4th telco, and banks and brokers have been issuing serious sell calls.
I sold some starhub and m1 earlier in September. I am still holding on 1 lot of each. bad news. bad decision. Double whammy of trying to reallocate funds in what I perceived as the most stable telco Singtel. Alas I should have waited for a better entry price.
Overall portfolio down by 6.5% as of year to date. I wonder if I should sell both and book my losses.
inclusive of dividends I will still record minor gain of +2%
It is my weakness not able to capture the right time to sell. Maybe it is time to brush up on this area.
Stock to watch currently.
I shall focus on dividends from companies that are less noticeable by funds and BBs. Less volatility.
Funds that receive profits in USD shall also be interesting.
ALso look out for companies which does it business in overseas, providing natural hedge against SG bad economy.
Sunningdale tech/ Venture corp/ HC surgicals/ UMS holdings/ Sheng Siong/ Jumbo/ CapitaRetailChinaTrust/ starhill global
Shall observe to see if my analysis is right.
I think I am developing old man vision. Eyes start to get tired easily these days. There is always a feeling of sleepiness after 1am. Thirties is really a bitch.
After a period of uneventful July to October, we reached the November.
Trump got elected after the USA presidential elections. Its against the conventional wisdom of all the analysts and experts. Which lead to a short 1 day mini sell down, stocks picked up right after.
Thereafter it has been weak mainly due to prolong uncertainty of the Fed's decision to raise I/R for upcoming December's meeting. Personally I seen a huge drop in my holdings for mine is a dividend heavy portfolio.
One of the lesson I had learnt is not to trust "experts" they are human too and made mistakes.
Locally the government's initiative to push for 4th telco coupled with impeding rising rates and trump's rejection of TPP, has cause big sell down for all three telcos. Funds selling to invest in US, retailers dumping due to the impending 4th telco, and banks and brokers have been issuing serious sell calls.
I sold some starhub and m1 earlier in September. I am still holding on 1 lot of each. bad news. bad decision. Double whammy of trying to reallocate funds in what I perceived as the most stable telco Singtel. Alas I should have waited for a better entry price.
Overall portfolio down by 6.5% as of year to date. I wonder if I should sell both and book my losses.
inclusive of dividends I will still record minor gain of +2%
It is my weakness not able to capture the right time to sell. Maybe it is time to brush up on this area.
Stock to watch currently.
I shall focus on dividends from companies that are less noticeable by funds and BBs. Less volatility.
Funds that receive profits in USD shall also be interesting.
ALso look out for companies which does it business in overseas, providing natural hedge against SG bad economy.
Sunningdale tech/ Venture corp/ HC surgicals/ UMS holdings/ Sheng Siong/ Jumbo/ CapitaRetailChinaTrust/ starhill global
Shall observe to see if my analysis is right.
Saturday, June 11, 2016
I made an effort to cut down on buying dividend stocks due to the macro conditions and also due to the need for cash in the short-term for my apartment's down payment. Dividend bearing stocks (higher yield ones especially) then to have their prices stay stagnant or dip relative to interest rate rises and other related reasons. If you need the money in say 2-3 years' time a growth stock that allows quick gains may be the better choice. Of course, I did not sell all of my dividend stocks. A large portion of my portfolio is still dividend. I am aiming to change my portfolio from 100% dividend stocks to a 70:30 (div:growth) ratio. This should amplify my returns a fair bit.
Now I am predicting that auntie yellen will not push the rates up too high due to the weak economy outlook in the states. However I do foresee generally weakness in the global economy. Which may/would lead to lower rates but QE has been done by various countries to varying degrees of success. I don't think that is the method the administrators are going to use.
I do hope the Singapore (property) market continues to weaken so that I can spend less when my turn to purchase comes. I do think it is slightly overpriced now.
Strategies for June and July will be to keep itchy fingers from buying anymore dividend stocks and accumulating investible cash for the upcoming Fullerton IPO.
Now I am predicting that auntie yellen will not push the rates up too high due to the weak economy outlook in the states. However I do foresee generally weakness in the global economy. Which may/would lead to lower rates but QE has been done by various countries to varying degrees of success. I don't think that is the method the administrators are going to use.
I do hope the Singapore (property) market continues to weaken so that I can spend less when my turn to purchase comes. I do think it is slightly overpriced now.
Strategies for June and July will be to keep itchy fingers from buying anymore dividend stocks and accumulating investible cash for the upcoming Fullerton IPO.
So recently I have begun to appreciate having my mornings sane on weekends. I have more time to ponder over various things and in addition, get to have an extra meal ^^
I went with the missus to find some traditional breakfast food and to our disappointment one of the business owners told us that that particular food is lost. As in no one's selling it in Singapore anymore.
The other place I could think of eating it is in Taiwan.
Maybe I should go get myself some friends and go on a Taiwan food trip.
I went with the missus to find some traditional breakfast food and to our disappointment one of the business owners told us that that particular food is lost. As in no one's selling it in Singapore anymore.
The other place I could think of eating it is in Taiwan.
Maybe I should go get myself some friends and go on a Taiwan food trip.
Sunday, May 15, 2016
I was not really feeling that keen to write a blog post because there's nothing much new.
However that changed as there is simply too much noise and opinions , plus new distractions.
This post will serve as a reminder to myself by the end of the year 2016.
First things first, we have this P2P lending thingy and tbh I was kinda sold (enough for me to create accounts for two of the P2P lenders) Interestingly, what I realised was that how fast these loans get sub out.
Within MINUTES
a friend of mine said that many singaporeans hoard tons of disposable cash and he believes that the usual person you see on the street in our 25-35 age group has about 100k to 200k disposable cash. I hope not, because that is kinda doesnt make sense. Espcially if everyone is crying how expensive 100k cars and 600k hdb flats are.
I do believe however, singaporeans are less keen to use the SGX as a means for investing income as compared to riskier vehicles such as p2p lending/junk bonds(think 2008) and starting a business. Was it because of the 1997 and 2008 crisis? I have no way to find out within my social circle.
Next up is the noise.. friends have been trading furiously, except one. He is earning quite decently and cash savings + dividend portfolio suits him most. (oso lazy) I did my sums and sad to say i cannot ride the trading waves in such a bear market as well , due to reasons such as pending MOP and needing a hefty 55-60k CASH to clear my debts. A potential wedding and etc will set me back at least by another 30k even if the other half chips in significantly.
Since im bull on property and i believe its fundamentals are very good in SIngapore I am sticking to my guns to just hold and save up.
ACTIONS to take:
Hence in the 2nd half of th year i will:
1) Continue to accumulate quality blue and large cap that has been battered.
2) Stick to dividend portfolio policies but reduce %.
3) Sell high debt level counters gradually - Croesus and OUE C-Reit (reducing their position)
4) Buy into a bit of growth to balance- Dividend are gonna be down in this environment due to lower earnings from stable companies, however new companies and s-chip being not at peak of their potentials can still record above market results and thus rise in share price - drawback is there is usually little to no yield for such counters - Target to position 10-15% monies on growth while
5) Maintaining total portfolio yield at 6% or optimistically 6.5%
6) Hold cash of 10k for unique opportunities - Fullerton Health IPO
7) Diversification to all sectors - as above - 1st entry to healthcare
8) Decide what to do with P2P funds of 1k- not alot but just do something ? thing is Im so busy i missed 3 opportunities to sign up before they got all subsribed - SERIOUSLY singaporeans?
Key thing to remember - blue chips and good dividend counters are only high yield when you buy them EARLY (just ipo) or if you missed it, during bad times such as feb 2016. There is no high yielding low risk low debt stocks. There must be a reason behind it.
However that changed as there is simply too much noise and opinions , plus new distractions.
This post will serve as a reminder to myself by the end of the year 2016.
First things first, we have this P2P lending thingy and tbh I was kinda sold (enough for me to create accounts for two of the P2P lenders) Interestingly, what I realised was that how fast these loans get sub out.
Within MINUTES
a friend of mine said that many singaporeans hoard tons of disposable cash and he believes that the usual person you see on the street in our 25-35 age group has about 100k to 200k disposable cash. I hope not, because that is kinda doesnt make sense. Espcially if everyone is crying how expensive 100k cars and 600k hdb flats are.
I do believe however, singaporeans are less keen to use the SGX as a means for investing income as compared to riskier vehicles such as p2p lending/junk bonds(think 2008) and starting a business. Was it because of the 1997 and 2008 crisis? I have no way to find out within my social circle.
Next up is the noise.. friends have been trading furiously, except one. He is earning quite decently and cash savings + dividend portfolio suits him most. (oso lazy) I did my sums and sad to say i cannot ride the trading waves in such a bear market as well , due to reasons such as pending MOP and needing a hefty 55-60k CASH to clear my debts. A potential wedding and etc will set me back at least by another 30k even if the other half chips in significantly.
Since im bull on property and i believe its fundamentals are very good in SIngapore I am sticking to my guns to just hold and save up.
ACTIONS to take:
Hence in the 2nd half of th year i will:
1) Continue to accumulate quality blue and large cap that has been battered.
2) Stick to dividend portfolio policies but reduce %.
3) Sell high debt level counters gradually - Croesus and OUE C-Reit (reducing their position)
4) Buy into a bit of growth to balance- Dividend are gonna be down in this environment due to lower earnings from stable companies, however new companies and s-chip being not at peak of their potentials can still record above market results and thus rise in share price - drawback is there is usually little to no yield for such counters - Target to position 10-15% monies on growth while
5) Maintaining total portfolio yield at 6% or optimistically 6.5%
6) Hold cash of 10k for unique opportunities - Fullerton Health IPO
7) Diversification to all sectors - as above - 1st entry to healthcare
8) Decide what to do with P2P funds of 1k- not alot but just do something ? thing is Im so busy i missed 3 opportunities to sign up before they got all subsribed - SERIOUSLY singaporeans?
Key thing to remember - blue chips and good dividend counters are only high yield when you buy them EARLY (just ipo) or if you missed it, during bad times such as feb 2016. There is no high yielding low risk low debt stocks. There must be a reason behind it.
Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Its been some time since I wrote anything. I am having new stuff at work and on top of that dating someone. I wonder if I had a change in my mentality since last year, I am more comfortable with myself. I'm able to watch movies , dine and drink all alone and infact I Prefer to be alone at times.. was it due to work? I am so busy these days that I just cant be bother to start a conversation.
There is a rather significant dip earlier this year on the STI .. thot I might as well blog about it. The thing is fast forward it to the end of march and the STI has pretty much recovered back from 2500 to 2800 (not bad) . It isn't everything (was about 3k range) and it has chances of falling. But the key in investing is that one should always be calm and objective. Crisis provide us with good buy-in opportunities and we should not panic unless we need cash urgently.
But if you needed cash urgently , then why are you using that sum of money for investments?
There is a rather significant dip earlier this year on the STI .. thot I might as well blog about it. The thing is fast forward it to the end of march and the STI has pretty much recovered back from 2500 to 2800 (not bad) . It isn't everything (was about 3k range) and it has chances of falling. But the key in investing is that one should always be calm and objective. Crisis provide us with good buy-in opportunities and we should not panic unless we need cash urgently.
But if you needed cash urgently , then why are you using that sum of money for investments?
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