A Plan for 45 - Part 2

So the first half of 2021 has ended and things seem to be coming back to normal, (baby steps) with the vaccines, and new regulations and companies learning to cope more with working online etc. The ivnestment market has shaken off its March fears of inflation / rising rates / tech bubble and there was a sustained performance by all three major indices in US markets in June. 

That brings the overall portfolio back to a more respectable level but I am still lagging the S&P 500 performance due to BTC exposure other tech names. 

The S&P and Nasdaq have both repeatedly broke ATH after ATHs. I was just thinking about taking some profits for some value plays and in-the-profits-but-corrected some tech to prepare cash for the inevitable correction, and it seems that majority of the analysts surveyed by CNBC seem to feel that there is a correction too. 

Not an expert but if something hits ATH, its better to stop putting in new money and have maybe some cash. Not selling anything either, but just don't go full retard and buy all in. 

Seems that BigTech (FAANG+M), Banks (XLF), and Energy (XLE) are the preferred plays this 2h2021. 

I have not done any changes to portfolio except selling some BEP and getting into KDC after it corrected but that is more of a regular yield optimization play. 

Glad I bought some MSFT - enjoyed a nice little run. 

Edit: Bought a little bit more of QYLD, I am treating this a a place to park cash, should things turn i will divert funds from here to get cheap beaten up stocks on my watchlist. 

Action to take, 

1. continue Take Profit to hit 15% -20% cash (now at 10%)
2. Buy on weakness FAANGM stocks 
3. Watchout for banks stocks, XLF / IPAY to certain extend

A Plan for 45 - Part 1

To be accountable, one needs to set goals and targets. 

So I would set the following general targets:

• Ability to retire or at reach a point where my income from non-work equates to $50,000 
• Own a "fun car" - yes two door sports coupes, no, it does not need to be crazy supercars (idm though)
• Fitness - At the very least able to maintain IPPT gold standards and keep bodyfat to 15% or less
• time to play basketball regularly 
• meet new people and read up new knowledge
• Stretch goal - move my furkids to a larger home where they get their own room. 

The above requires free TIME and that in itself requires MONEY to replace the WORK require to gain momentary freedom.

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Ok serious stuff. 

I am hitting 200k for my equities portfolio. Around 30% is allocated in dividend stocks and I think it serves to provide some income (dividend roots) and peace of mind. 50% in US stocks and etf comprising usual growth and tech stuff. Remainder is cash (Market ATH)  of around 15%.  

• I intend to dial back from equities investing once it reaches 200k. I will still invest, but at much lower rate
• Identify any investing opportunities and plonk sizable sums of $15,000 to $30,000 (this can be in anything from cryptos to MTG cards to collectible NFTs to business opportunities) 
• Slowly, during the course of the next 1-2 years allocate 10-15% (to be confirmed) of my total non residence networth into crypto as a form of hedge as protection. I have seen what happens in 2008-10 where all the prices soared and people were priced out of the markets from properties that doubled in few years. 
• Using my collection of Magic the Gathering cards as capital I shall also convert their value to cryptos. I will forever miss these babies but I cannot preserve their condition well due to the humid climate and lack of care and I no longer play. They do deserve to see some playlight all these legacy goodness. This will give me capital to rotate without risking new capital if BTC fails to hold its value. 
• Yearly capital injection to investing will target minimum $40,000 (up from $35,000) . I know this is peanuts to most people who are serious about FIRE but I prefer to live a little.

Short term wise, continue to accumulate cash for correction. Watch out for fed rates sudden hikes (unlikely) and BTFD whenever cryptos have a correction. 

Lets look back in few months' time!!

A Plan For 45 - Introduction

I turn 37 this year (2021) and I am currently a salaried employee in a (by public perception) comfortable though not glamourous (nor high income) job. 

I have worked for almost 15 years across several types of jobs but mainly in the professional development and adult learning areas. During my mid-twenties I had picked up investing via friend of mine as a way to boost income. My salary was considered below median for my age group back then in the country. measly $50,000 annual pay cheque for a 27 year old wasnt gonna cut it. 

Although not much by professional standards I have since dabbled in stocks, bonds and generally retail stuff for close to 10 years. It was not until 2 years ago that I started to develop a thirst for knowledge, partly after some chats with a friend who worked in an investment firm. I started to learn and try to incorporate concepts rather than "chase hot stocks" or "being a yield whore" Over the period and ongoing still, I am trying my best to incorporate the following into my decisions whenever I value an investment opportunity: 

• Portfolio allocation
• Risk management
• Recognizing the difference in retail vs institution (and making use of that advantage) 
• Country bias and advantages 

To that I would say that I did have some success in achieving risk adjusted returns. And thankfully, the last few years had been absolute blast for investors in general. 

Looking back at the opportunities that i missed and mistakes i made, i think the following struck: 

• Lack of due diligence which results in low conviction
• Fear of loss - could be due to the fact my savings were low and my humble family background 
• Both risk aversion and loss aversion resulted in selling winners and holding losers  
• But the worst was missing out epic opportunities when risk:reward ratio is so skewed due to above 3 mindset  

As I age toward 40s I realized time is precious (oh my basketball knees) and i do not want to spend precious moments slogging in the office. I do not mind having a job that I truly enjoy, either great work environment or meaningful / fun stuff. Time can be better spent maintaining fitness, with people I enjoy being around and playing games or watching anime. 

It is also opportune, that at this juncture in life, I feel that I have "stabilized" and could afford to take some risk. My total assets minus residence is now reaching half mil. The amount of capital that is required for life altering impact should any investment fail to work out is no longer significant to destroy what I have already established. I have also allocated enough cash locked in at 2.5% yield as backup for 5 years worth of my mortgage. All in all, so long I do not go "full retard" I can comfortably retire with a fully paid home by 55 (but fuck that) 

I will describe and log the plans for my own accountability so that I have no regrets when I reach there in 8 years time.