Sunday, February 28, 2021

Summary for Jan and Feb 2021

The year of 2021 continued the uptrend as tech stocks led the charge up. At one point my portfolio were up 21% by mid January. Since the addition of stocks in Oct - late Nov, I realized that the market is going up at a way faster pace than I could keep up. So I have stuck with my main holdings and periodically added in small volumes for my three ETFS: SMH/ARKK/MOAT. 

Not feeling comfortable risking additional capital, while feeling the need to still churn returns, I turned to allocating 5% of my total portfolio to trade SPACs/hot stocks. The rules are simple, find the next hot thing and buy, hold until 30-50% profit or when story cools off and sell. Cut loss if momentum shifts. 

Profitable trades includes: $PLTR, $AQB, $IPOE, $SPCE, $PSTH... Losses includes; $ACTC & $XNET (due to feb sudden drop) 

That was the summary of January 2021.

Feb was a very different story, rising short term 10yr US treasuries caused (+0.6% in 4-5month iirc) caused selldown of long dated assets. Heavy on growth and tech my portfolio retraced to mere +10.7% as of 28 Feb. 

Held on to all my shares, sold all SPACs/ Speculative positions. Bought more MOAT.L. opened position in $ETN, $MSFT. I am thinking if I should rotate from the last two short term plays of $TTCF and $STIC (bought late Jan/ Early Feb) to get some discounted $APPL 

Despite many people rotating to traditional beneficary like Banks/industrials/O&G stocks, traditionally I dislike these sectors. I prefered semicons/properties(esp reits or high yielding ones), more recently innovation related counter which i see a real shift in behavior and usage, especially obvious after COVID struck. 

Plans for March 

Gunpowder is at ~20% which should allow some adjustments and purchases. If interest goes up and general market is recovering then it should bode well within the year.  That said there might be a fiercer correction vs what I expect so I am not naïve to place more capital without seeing a 10% drop (DOW/SPY/QQQ YTD still up >2+%). 

Highly possible I will be rotating money to high value blue chip and FANNGs for stable long term growth and recovery. $APPL at $120 seems like worth starting a position.

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